Who can beat Trump where it counts?
That’s all I care about. I’d vote for Vlad the Impaler if I thought he’d win.
With that in mind, I will keep my eye on state polls. Yes, I know it’s early, and I don’t care. Ignoring them is the difference between making a decision with a little bit of information and making a decision with no information. I’ll use a little bit of information.
Fortunately, we can follow polls as they come out, HERE. And this is what they tell us so far:
Wisconsin (Marquette Law 9/4/2019) — only Biden is outside the margin of error (+/- 3.9%).
- Biden 51 — Trump 42
- Harris 44 — Trump 44
- Sanders 48 — Trump 44
- Warren 45 — Trump 45
Michigan (EPIC-MRA 8/28/2019) — Warren is barely outside the margin of error, Biden well beyond it.
- Biden 51 — Trump 41
- Harris 46 — Trump 43
- Sanders 48 — Trump 44
- Warren 49 — Trump 43
Nothing recent in Pennsylvania.
But hey, these are fun:
Florida (same link) (Quinnipiac 6/18/2019)
- Biden 50 — Trump 41
- Harris 45 — Trump 44
- Sanders 48 — Trump 42
- Warren 47 — Trump 43
Nevada (Gravis Marketing 8/20/2019) margin of error +/-3.2
- Biden 49 — Trump 43
- Harris 45 — Trump 45
- Sanders 47 — Trump 44
- Warren 46 — Trump 47
Ohio (Quinnipiac 7/25/2019)
- Biden 50 — Trump 42
- Harris 44 — Trump 44
- Sanders 45 — Trump 46
- Warren 45 — Trump 46
Show me somebody doing better than Biden, or at least running consistently outside the margin of error, in enough states to win, and I’m all ears. And I’ll be willing to listen all the way up until my primary.
Until then, though, let’s stop the bullshit diaries trashing candidate, particularly the ones published by certain people in obvious bad faith and fits of pique.